Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Introducing the Contest of the Week: What's Your Lineup?

What's the best lineup, order included, that can be made from the 2002 San Francisco Giants?  Think you can come up with a better one than other readers?

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Today I'm introducing a new feature of the blog: the contest of the week.  Each week, I'll announce a contest to readers.  Each week, the winner of the contest gets three Shadow-points, second place gets two Shadow-points, and third place gets one Shadow-point.  Every two months, the person with the most Shadow-points in the period gets their name put on a Hall of Fame widget to the right of the blog (I'll create it once it's needed), a wallet-busting $2 prize, and the opportunity, if they want, to write a guest article for the blog.

So, on to the first contest:

What's Your Lineup?


I wrote Basim, a python script that simulates baseball games based on the stats of the people in the lineups.  The details of how it works are in the link above; you can also see Basim simulating games live on the right  of the blog.  I've recently been looking into evaluating players with it, but this contest has to do with the original use of Basim: evaluating batting orders.

So, the first contest is to construct the best batting order from the 2002 San Francisco Giants roster.  To enter the contest, submit a lineup from their players; I'll run Basim on all submissions, and the three highest average runs per game are the winners.

Rules:

1)  The players you can draw from are listed here.

2)  You can only use players who had at least 100 plate appearances with the Giants that year.

3) Your lineup must be defensively valid.  That is to say you must have a first baseman, second baseman, etc.  Shortstops and second basemen are considered interchangeable, and all outfielders and first basemen are also interchangeable.  Third basemen and catchers can play first base, but not vice versa.  The position that a person can play, up to interchangeability, is the one listed here. (Technical note: Dunston can play 2B, SS, OF, and 1B, in case you want to play him for some reason).

4) Your pitcher (in your lineup) must be Jason Schmidt.

5)  I will run 1,000,000 simulations on each submitted lineup to find its average runs scored per game.  The highest value will win and get three Shadow-points; second will get two, and third will get one.

So, for example, a submission might look like:

1.  Benito Santiago (C)
2.  J. T. Snow (LF)
3.  Jeff Kent (SS)
4.  Kenny Lofton (1B)
5.  Barry Bonds (CF)
6.  Jason Schmidt (P)
7.  David Bell (3B)
8.  Ramon Martinez (2B)
9.  Marvin Bernard (RF)


Some (quite obvious) things to think about: where do you put Bonds?  What do you think of stolen bases?  What do you want in a leadoff hitter?  Where do you put the pitcher?

Submissions are due by Monday, August 6th; I'll announce winners the next day.  To submit a lineup, either email it to me (sambf at mit dot edu), or post it as a comment on this post.  (Make sure to include your name.)

Good luck!


12 comments:

  1. 1. Kenny Lofton (CF)
    2. David Bell (3B)
    3. Barry Bonds (LF)
    4. Jeff Kent (2B)
    5. Reggie Sanders (RF)
    6. JT Snow (1B)
    7. Benito Santiago (C)
    8. Rich Aurilia (SS)

    ReplyDelete
  2. By Scott Livingston
    1. Tom Goodwin (CF)
    2. J.T. Snow (1B)
    3. Barry Bonds(LF)
    4. Jeff Kent (2B)
    5. Benito Santiago (C)
    6. Reggie Sanders (RF)
    7. Rich Aurilia (SS)
    8. David Bell (3B)

    ReplyDelete
  3. 1. Lofton CF
    2. Bell 3b
    3. Bonds LF
    4. Kent 2b
    5. Minor 1b
    6. Sanders RF
    7. Martinez SS
    8. Santiago C
    9. Schmidt P

    ReplyDelete
  4. 1. Sanders CF
    2. Torrealba C
    3. Bonds LF
    4. Kent 2B
    5. Minor RF
    6. Bell 3B
    7. Martinez SS
    8. Snow 1B
    9. Schmidt P

    ReplyDelete
  5. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Decided that this is better:

    1) Yorvit Torrealba C
    2) Kenny Lofton CF
    3) Barry Bonds LF
    4) Jeff Kent 2B
    5) Reggie Sanders RF
    6) Damon Minor 1B
    7) David Bell 3B
    8) Jason Schmidt P
    9) Ramon Martinez SS

    -Neil

    ReplyDelete
  7. 1) Lofton CF
    2) Martinez SS
    3) Bonds LF
    4) Kent 2B
    5) Sanders RF
    6) Bell 3B
    7) Santiago C
    8) Minor 1B
    9) Schmidt P

    - Joe B.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Jon S. August 2, 2012
    1) Lofton CF
    2) Aurillia SS
    3) Bonds LF
    4) Kent 2B
    5) Santiago C
    6) Bell 3B
    7) sanders RF
    8) snow 1B
    9) Schmidt P (I'd rather have Ortiz)

    ReplyDelete
  9. 1. Kent 2B
    2. Lofton CF
    3. Bonds LF
    4. Sanders RF
    5. Minor 1B
    6. Bell 3B
    7. Martinez SS
    8. Torrealba C
    9. Schmidt P

    ReplyDelete
  10. Kenny Lofton-CF
    Rich Aurilia-SS
    Jeff Kent-2B
    Barry Bonds-LF
    Reggie Sanders-RF
    David Bell-3B
    Yorvit Torrealba-C
    Ramon E. Martinez-SS
    Jason Schmidt-P
    That's What I Got

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No This Is How It Will Look
      Kenny Lofton-CF
      Rich Aurilia-SS
      Jeff Kent-2B
      Barry Bonds-LF
      Damon Minor-1B
      Reggie Sanders-RF
      David Bell-3B
      Yorvit Torrealba-C
      Ramon E. Martinez-SS
      Jason Schmidt-P

      Delete
    2. Your second lineup has 10 players in it, but assuming you meant to remove Martinez (you have two shortstops), it'd score about 4.79 runs per game on average.

      Delete

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